President Barack Obama’s re-election means his administration will push to let tax cuts enacted during the George W. Bush era expire for high earners, as scheduled, at year-end. Obama wants to increase the top federal income tax rate to 39.6 percent from 35 percent, boost rates on long-term capital gains to as much as 23.8 percent, and shrink exemptions from estate-and-gift taxes.
“If you have to put a movie title on what’s going to happen from now until the end of the year it would be: ‘The Fast and the Furious,’” said Jeff Saccacio, a personal financial services partner at New York-based PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. “The wise, smart people are preparing themselves for a sunset of the Bush tax cuts.”
Wealthy investors have about a month and a half to examine their investment gains and losses left over from previous years, as well as to consider ways to move income into 2012 and transfer assets to heirs, Saccacio said. Now is the time to start running the calculations, he said.
“Acceleration of investment income is clear,” said Elda Di Re, partner and personal financial services area leader for Ernst & Young LLP in New York. “If anyone was planning on realizing a gain in the next two to three years on either securities or real estate, there’s a considerable amount of money to be saved.”
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, which is up 64 percent since Obama took office in 2009, lost 2.4 percent yesterday to 1,394.53, its lowest level since August.
An investor who sells $100 of stock with a cost basis of $20 in 2012 would see proceeds -- after capital gains taxes --of $88, according to an analysis by J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Next year, if Congress doesn’t act, earnings from the sale would drop to $80.96 if rates rise to 23.8 percent. That means the stock price would need to rise by at least 9 percent for an investor to be better off selling in 2013.
Investors shouldn’t accelerate sales of securities just to avoid a higher tax rate, said Saccacio, who is based in Los Angeles. They should consider how long they planned to hold stocks and whether they need to rebalance. Those who decide to sell at current capital gains rates can re-invest in the securities if they remain attractive without violating so-called wash-sale rules under the Internal Revenue Service code that apply to stocks sold at a loss, he said.
Closely held businesses that have a choice to pay bonuses or dividends in 2012 or 2013 should do so before year-end, said Joanne E. Johnson, wealth adviser and managing director at New York-based JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s private bank unit. Employees who have a choice to receive their bonus this year should do so and consider exercising stock options that are set to expire, she said.
While the election provided some clarity, wealthy taxpayers still must be prepared for the unexpected before Dec. 31, Johnson said. “We don’t know what the compromises are going to be,” she said.
Democrats maintained control of the U.S. Senate in the election results this week as Republicans kept their majority in the House of Representatives. That ensures continued resistance to Obama’s determination to raise taxes for the wealthiest Americans in the effort to reduce the U.S. budget deficit.
Lawmakers may have to address the so-called fiscal cliff of tax increases and spending cuts that would start in January if Congress doesn’t act in a lame-duck session set to begin this month.
Some tax-rate increases scheduled to take effect next year don’t depend on fiscal-cliff negotiations, said Di Re of Ernst & Young. The 2010 health-care law, which Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney had vowed to repeal, applies a 3.8 percent surtax on unearned income such as realized capital gains, dividends and interest in 2013 for married couples making more than $250,000 and individuals earning at least $200,000.
The law also increases the Medicare payroll tax levied on wages by 0.9 percentage points for high earners.
Wealthy taxpayers with large carryover losses remaining from 2008 and 2009 may not want to rush to sell securities before year-end, Saccacio said. They may have enough losses to offset future gains even with higher tax rates, he said.
When capital losses exceed gains, the extra generally can be deducted on individuals’ tax returns and used to reduce other income, such as wages, up to an annual limit of $3,000, according to the IRS. If the total loss is more than the cap, the unused portion may be carried over to following years.