The ECB is trying to address a market fear of euro convertibility and preserve a unity of monetary policy. It's a bold move by historic standards and moves the markets onto the next phase of problem, such as Greece, political union and growth. But the pattern of ECB and EU solutions remains: lots of fiery talk, hugely complicated programs and delayed actions.
-Christian Thwaites, president, Sentinel Investments
Two weeks into a new era of ECB and Fed policy and it is a tie between the gains in equities, with the US and European broad indexes up around 2.2%. But it's the lack of follow-through and opacity of the ECB moves which are perhaps the most disconcerting and so, probably, the more short-lived. While both central banks reported easing in the form of securities purchases they had very different origins and aims. Here's a quick summary:
| ECB | FED | |
| Name | OMT: Outright Monetary Transactions | MBS purchases |
| Goal | Correct bond market "distortions" | Increase employment |
| Timing | Open, but not for at least 3 months | Immediate |
| Securities | Peripheral sovereign bonds | MBS |
| Conditionality | Yes, party must sign up for fiscal program | None |
| Sterilized | Yes | No |
| Funded | Yes, through ESM | No |
| Exit Strategy | Yes | Not yet |
| Maturity | Less than 3 years | Over 7 years |
| Size limits | No, in theory | $40bn per month |
| Inflation | Above target | Below target |
| New Issues | No, nothing issued after the start date | Yes, new pools and secondary |
| Aimed at | Countries in ESM programs | Whole economy |
The problem is readily apparent. The ECB is trying to address a market fear of euro convertibility and preserve a unity of monetary policy. It's a bold move by historic standards and moves the markets onto the next phase of problem, such as Greece, political union and growth. But the pattern of ECB and EU solutions remains: lots of fiery talk, hugely complicated programs and delayed actions. It's the same again. This explains why equities and bonds rallied post the September 6th decision then gave up the ghost for most of the last week. The purchase program is not the answer to Europe's problems. The flash PMIs fell again, to their lowest level in three years, and Germany's lead indicators are rolling over as exports fall, tight monetary conditions prevail and austere fiscal policy crushes demand.



